References
Here you will find a few selected examples of our work in the areas of Government Foresight, Corporate Foresight and Public Foresight as well as some publications and other resources. Contact us to find out more about our work!
In the area of public foresight, we support actors in the third sector – from associations, foundations, and think tanks to advocacy-oriented organizations. Together, we develop future perspectives that drive change and provide societal impetus.
Global Trade 2040
The project "Future of Trade in a Net-zero World" by the European Climate Foundation examined how global trade can be made sustainable in the face of climate change. Experts from academia, administration, NGOs and EU institutions developed both explorative scenarios and a positive vision for trade that combines economic, social and ecological sustainability. The Report wwas discussed in the European Parliament and at COP28.
Democracy 2035
In the foresight process Digitale Diskurse & demokratische Öffentlichkeit we developed scenarios for the year 2035 together with experts from technology, media, politics, research and civil society organizations for the Bertelsmann Foundation. In focus was the transformation of democratic processes by digitalization, new opportunities for participation und power shifts created by digital technologies.
Security in Europe 2030
The “Weimar Task Force on the European Security Order” by the Körber-Foundation, brought together experts from Germany, France and Poland to develop a shared vision for the European security order 2030 that is based on common values and rules. Core issues included sovereignty, geopolitical stability and Europe's role in a multilateral world.
Digital Europe 2030
In the explorative foresight project "Digital Europe 2030" by the Alfred Herrhausen Society, european experts and researchers developed scenarios for the digital transformation of the public domain. In the context of Europe's digital sovereignty, three scenarios raised questions regarding Europe's geopolitical role in the digital age, the regulation of platforms and the role of European tech companies.
Conflicts in Europe's neighborhood
As part of the EU-LISTCO project, Foresight Intelligence developed a dedicated scenario format for policy planning and held four scenario and policy design workshops. These brought together European experts and researchers from neighboring regions of Europe. The scenarios were developed in four geographical and thematic areas and help to prepare for or avoid uncertain future developments.
Climate Engineering 2040
Foresight Intelligence developed a scenario format to explore the future of solar radiation management (SRM). Various future scenarios were used to develop tools for researching and potentially applying these high-risk technologies. Climate and technology researchers worked with policymakers to advance the debate on responsible governance of SRM.
Hydrogen 2040
In collaboration with the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, Foresight Intelligence developed scenarios for the future geoeconomics of hydrogen. Three disruptive scenarios highlighted the geopolitical implications of hydrogen. Based on the scenarios, policy recommendations were derived to promote the development of proactive strategies, new partnerships and institutional solutions for future geopolitical challenges.
Raw Material Security 2030
The strategic foresight project “German-Chinese raw material supply chains 2030” examined the long-term design of critical raw material supply chains in the face of geopolitical tensions and uncertainties. The focus was on topics such as logistics risks and the importance of sustainability standards. The aim was to develop strategic options for action for a resilient supply of raw materials and to support the political discussion with well-founded recommendations.
Government Foresight encompasses our collaboration with organizations that perform sovereign functions – from state governments and the German federal government to European and international organizations. We support government organizations in fulfilling their responsibility in a forward-looking and future-oriented manner. As many of our projects are classified, we can only present them in abstract form.
Organizational chart for a new federal institute
The Federal Ministry of Health commissioned Foresight Intelligence to assist with the planning of the Federal Institute of Public Health. We designed a cross-departmental process to develop a robust and future-proof organizational chart that included various components of strategic foresight and organizational development, leading to the successful adoption of the corresponding cabinet bill in just three months.
Strategy in the interministerial steering group
Foresight Intelligence supports federal ministries in the planning and conducting of departmental circles and interministerial working groups on cross-departmental topics. Strategic foresight organizes the process and facilitates effective communication across departmental boundaries, even with limited time resources. The results range from common general principles or visions to strategies coordinated at working level and long-term work plans that create the basis for sustainable cooperation.
Advising the Chancellory
The Federal Chancellery has repeatedly entrusted Foresight Intelligence with various services under Chancellors Merkel and Scholz. As the central steering body of the federal government, it is responsible for cross-cutting topics and societal issues, whereby Strategic Foresight helps to integrate different perspectives. This included workshops on future topics, the development of general principles and visions as well as support for strategic policy planning.
Country scenarios for the Federal Foreign Office
Since 2010, the Federal Foreign Office has regularly commissioned Foresight Intelligence with explorative scenario processes for various countries and regions for the purpose of developing well-founded country strategies. The combination of conflict, actor and network analyses with scenario planning made it possible to recognize local dynamics, geopolitical and societal challenges at an early stage and to identify strategic scope for action.
Whole of government security provision
Foresight Intelligence was commissioned to carry out a strategy process on the future of “Whole of government security provision” with representatives of the relevant ministries and authorities. The combination of strategic foresight and risk analysis made it possible to identify a number of unknown unknowns, analyze their impact on the security situation and develop resilient strategy components.
Future studies for the WHO
As part of the World Health Organization's (WHO) Health Futures Strategic Dialogue (HFSD), Foresight Intelligence conducted three projects to engage diverse perspectives on a holistic health strategy in the Western Pacific region. The SenseMaker project enabled young people from the Philippines and Malaysia to think through long-term challenges and develop innovative ideas for health solutions.
Corporate Foresight focuses on working with organizations that have to compete with others. We support companies in remaining adaptable, breaking new ground and being successful on the market in the long term. As in the Government Foresight section, we remain quite abstract here too.
Strategy development
Foresight Intelligence uses various strategic foresight methods to support companies in developing robust strategies. For example, we supported the management team of a Fortune 500 company in scenario planning in order to make the digitalization strategy not only more robust, but also more concrete and detailed, even under great uncertainty. We were also able to use scenario simulations to expand the strategy to include contingency planning.
Future Readiness Assessment
The Future Readiness Assessment that we developed measures the future readines of companies and identifies specific options for strengthening agility, the ability to change and resilience. For a globally operating group of companies, for example, we use the FRA specifically to make the implementation of their change strategy more effective with minimal interventions.
Foresight Training
In our training courses for executives, we teach practice-oriented methods and tools for strategic foresight. For example, in the talent program of a large corporation: in this multi-day event, managers learn all about approaches and methods of complexity management and how to deal with future issues. They also learn how to plan small foresight projects and how to implement them efficiently using our templates.
Organizational -
development
Strategic foresight is not a one-off project or event, but a process to continuously adapt and improve structures and processes and ultimately promote a learning and adaptive culture. We supported a company with a sensitive stakeholder structure in the development of a common vision, missions at business unit level and in the conception and implementation of change projects.
Public Foresight
In the area of public foresight, we support actors in the third sector – from associations, foundations, and think tanks to advocacy-oriented organizations. Together, we develop future perspectives that drive change and provide societal impetus.
Global Trade 2040
The project "Future of Trade in a Net-zero World" by the European Climate Foundation examined how global trade can be made sustainable in the face of climate change. Experts from academia, administration, NGOs and EU institutions developed both explorative scenarios and a positive vision for trade that combines economic, social and ecological sustainability. The Report wwas discussed in the European Parliament and at COP28.
Democracy 2035
In the foresight process Digitale Diskurse & demokratische Öffentlichkeit we developed scenarios for the year 2035 together with experts from technology, media, politics, research and civil society organizations for the Bertelsmann Foundation. In focus was the transformation of democratic processes by digitalization, new opportunities for participation und power shifts created by digital technologies.
Security in Europe 2030
The “Weimar Task Force on the European Security Order” by the Körber-Foundation, brought together experts from Germany, France and Poland to develop a shared vision for the European security order 2030 that is based on common values and rules. Core issues included sovereignty, geopolitical stability and Europe's role in a multilateral world.
Digital Europe 2030
In the explorative foresight project "Digital Europe 2030" by the Alfred Herrhausen Society, european experts and researchers developed scenarios for the digital transformation of the public domain. In the context of Europe's digital sovereignty, three scenarios raised questions regarding Europe's geopolitical role in the digital age, the regulation of platforms and the role of European tech companies.
Conflicts in Europe's neighborhood
As part of the EU-LISTCO project, Foresight Intelligence developed a dedicated scenario format for policy planning and held four scenario and policy design workshops. These brought together European experts and researchers from neighboring regions of Europe. The scenarios were developed in four geographical and thematic areas and help to prepare for or avoid uncertain future developments.
Climate Engineering 2040
Foresight Intelligence developed a scenario format to explore the future of solar radiation management (SRM). Various future scenarios were used to develop tools for researching and potentially applying these high-risk technologies. Climate and technology researchers worked with policymakers to advance the debate on responsible governance of SRM.
Hydrogen 2040
In collaboration with the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, Foresight Intelligence developed scenarios for the future geoeconomics of hydrogen. Three disruptive scenarios highlighted the geopolitical implications of hydrogen. Based on the scenarios, policy recommendations were derived to promote the development of proactive strategies, new partnerships and institutional solutions for future geopolitical challenges.
Raw Material Security 2030
The strategic foresight project “German-Chinese raw material supply chains 2030” examined the long-term design of critical raw material supply chains in the face of geopolitical tensions and uncertainties. The focus was on topics such as logistics risks and the importance of sustainability standards. The aim was to develop strategic options for action for a resilient supply of raw materials and to support the political discussion with well-founded recommendations.
Government Foresight
Government Foresight encompasses our collaboration with organizations that perform sovereign functions – from state governments and the German federal government to European and international organizations. We support government organizations in fulfilling their responsibility in a forward-looking and future-oriented manner. As many of our projects are classified, we can only present them in abstract form.
Organizational chart for a new federal institute
The Federal Ministry of Health commissioned Foresight Intelligence to assist with the planning of the Federal Institute of Public Health. We designed a cross-departmental process to develop a robust and future-proof organizational chart that included various components of strategic foresight and organizational development, leading to the successful adoption of the corresponding cabinet bill in just three months.
Strategy in the interministerial steering group
Foresight Intelligence supports federal ministries in the planning and conducting of departmental circles and interministerial working groups on cross-departmental topics. Strategic foresight organizes the process and facilitates effective communication across departmental boundaries, even with limited time resources. The results range from common general principles or visions to strategies coordinated at working level and long-term work plans that create the basis for sustainable cooperation.
Advising the Chancellory
The Federal Chancellery has repeatedly entrusted Foresight Intelligence with various services under Chancellors Merkel and Scholz. As the central steering body of the federal government, it is responsible for cross-cutting topics and societal issues, whereby Strategic Foresight helps to integrate different perspectives. This included workshops on future topics, the development of general principles and visions as well as support for strategic policy planning.
Country scenarios for the Federal Foreign Office
Since 2010, the Federal Foreign Office has regularly commissioned Foresight Intelligence with explorative scenario processes for various countries and regions for the purpose of developing well-founded country strategies. The combination of conflict, actor and network analyses with scenario planning made it possible to recognize local dynamics, geopolitical and societal challenges at an early stage and to identify strategic scope for action.
Whole of government security provision
Foresight Intelligence was commissioned to carry out a strategy process on the future of “Whole of government security provision” with representatives of the relevant ministries and authorities. The combination of strategic foresight and risk analysis made it possible to identify a number of unknown unknowns, analyze their impact on the security situation and develop resilient strategy components.
Future studies for the WHO
As part of the World Health Organization's (WHO) Health Futures Strategic Dialogue (HFSD), Foresight Intelligence conducted three projects to engage diverse perspectives on a holistic health strategy in the Western Pacific region. The SenseMaker project enabled young people from the Philippines and Malaysia to think through long-term challenges and develop innovative ideas for health solutions.
Corporate Foresight
Corporate Foresight focuses on working with organizations that have to compete with others. We support companies in remaining adaptable, breaking new ground and being successful on the market in the long term. As in the Government Foresight section, we remain quite abstract here too.
Strategy development
Foresight Intelligence uses various strategic foresight methods to support companies in developing robust strategies. For example, we supported the management team of a Fortune 500 company in scenario planning in order to make the digitalization strategy not only more robust, but also more concrete and detailed, even under great uncertainty. We were also able to use scenario simulations to expand the strategy to include contingency planning.
Future Readiness Assessment
The Future Readiness Assessment that we developed measures the future readines of companies and identifies specific options for strengthening agility, the ability to change and resilience. For a globally operating group of companies, for example, we use the FRA specifically to make the implementation of their change strategy more effective with minimal interventions.
Foresight Training
In our training courses for executives, we teach practice-oriented methods and tools for strategic foresight. For example, in the talent program of a large corporation: in this multi-day event, managers learn all about approaches and methods of complexity management and how to deal with future issues. They also learn how to plan small foresight projects and how to implement them efficiently using our templates.
Organizational -
development
Strategic foresight is not a one-off project or event, but a process to continuously adapt and improve structures and processes and ultimately promote a learning and adaptive culture. We supported a company with a sensitive stakeholder structure in the development of a common vision, missions at business unit level and in the conception and implementation of change projects.
Publications and resources
Wie vorausschauende Politik gelingen kann
Der wissenschaftliche Umgang mit Zukunft
A scientific enquiry into the future
Theory-infused and policy-relevant: On the usefulness of scenario analysis for international relations
Qualitative Szenarien als Tool des organisationalen Lernens
Three scenarios for EU-China relations 2025
Futurology and Architecture
Mapping Possibe Futures
Die Zukunft schlägt zurück
Four scenarios of the energy transition: Drivers, consequences, and implications for geopolitics
